Thanks Skate, I will get back to the above soon;
Today I completed my entries to “initiate the system”:
I purchase more shares to align the portfolio to a backtest started on the 8/02/2019
AMI 5681 @0.88 $5,009.28
CNU 990 @5.05 $5009.5
NHC 1204 @ 4.15 $5006.6
cost above reflecting $10 brokerage
The start of the system highlighted an interesting problem
When you start, and assuming you have an edge in your position score:
you can either:
1)just purchase the “new” buys only…discard last week ones just get new
2) fill your 20 positions allocation on day one including previous period buy recommendations.
But then you will probably buy at less than optimum time based on your system concept:
either buy too high, or buying codes which are already loosers
or would be so low with their position score that they would never be actually considered on an ongoing system with only a few free postions at a time
How to you solve this?
Whatever the method, I feel you end up a looser and with a less than optimum results until the effect of the initial positioning lessen.
I opted for a half baked solution:
purchase the recommendation of the last 3 bars, at today’s price..
From the start, my real portfolio is already behind a backtest version by $1k..the extra profit ownership on the last 3 weeks would have gathered, but we have at least 34% of funds invested.And will only use new recommendation from now on
Thanks for the feedback Skate: Is it the strategy you actually run ?..I know you have an hybrid approach and so leverage multiple systems but, is the code you backtest above something you actually run?
Reason I ask is that your entry into BRG is quite “lucky”: entry on a day where the share jump 21pc, want to make sure this is not some test code with maybe a future looking part or similar.
Indeed I expect much difference between your code and my current version as I have changed the initial base code you provided a LOT to suit my style (aka less DD ideally, etc)
I understand if you feel answering is providing too much information.
No problems explaining if it helps.
qldfrog, let me explain how I would trade this strategy. I have coded the CAM Strategy to your stated requirements.
Starting date – Week ending Friday 8th February 2019 (Explore for new signals)
Purchase date – Monday 11th February 2019
$100K Starting Equity
1. Buy in the pre-auction (place orders before the Mondays open)
2. I take every signal in order till the 20 positions are filled.
3. Follow the strategy without question.
1. “Is it the strategy you actually run ?”
This is my CAM modified Strategy – Do I trade it ? – Not yet, but I’m thinking about trading it as it’s quite different to my Hybrid Breakout Strategy. Meaning its not correlated.
2. “I know you have an hybrid approach and so leverage multiple systems but, is the code you backtest above something you actually run?”
Yes, this will be the actual code I’ll be trading, I’ll start small $300K portfolio with 20 positions @ $15K.
3. “Reason I ask is that your entry into BRG is quite “lucky”: entry on a day where the share jump 21pc, want to make sure this is not some test code with maybe a future looking part or similar.”
Luck plays a big part of trading. That an honest signal from the CAM Strategy (no fudging involved)
To a great degree, our success or failure in the market is a function of our luck. We like to think that our results are a direct consequence of our insight and efforts, but the reality is that luck plays a big part in how we do.
Trading is all about price movement. (re-post)
Nothing works perfect in trading so the next best thing is to accept ‘that sometimes it works well and other times not so well. Those that can handle that tend to do well. I say just go with the flow. Trading success is all about just luck & you create your own luck by doing all the right things.
4. “Indeed I expect much difference between your code and my current version as I have changed the initial base code you provided a LOT to suit my style (aka less DD ideally, etc)”
There is a huge difference in our strategies, I didn’t get many of your signals. The base code of my CAM Strategy is the exact same code I’ve supplied to you. I included additional code my CAM Strategy with added parameters.
Important to understand
The CAM strategy will pump out a large number of positions that’s why the PositionScore is critical.
Let me post a few graphics so you have a better understanding (correlated to the date you have given in your post 8th Feb 2019)
CAM Strategy using the Explore feature for AA Positions – this is what I see using Amibroker. (BRG) Long entry 11th Feb 2018 (includes my pre-auction calculations) – I have only listed the first position instead of a huge list. It aligns with the Backtest AA position signal for reference.